A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
US 500: Retail trader data shows 26.3% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.8 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2636.3; price has moved 13.1% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 1.7% higher than yesterday and 9.6% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.5% higher than yesterday and 8.1% higher from last week.
Avviso esplicito sui rischi: Il trading degli strumenti finanziari e/o di criptovalute comporta alti rischi, compreso quello di perdere in parte, o totalmente, l’importo dell’investimento, e potrebbe non essere adatto a tutti gli investitori. I prezzi delle criptovalute sono estremamente volatili e potrebbero essere influenzati da fattori esterni come eventi finanziari, normativi o politici. Il trading con margine aumenta i rischi finanziari.
Divulgation des risques: Négocier des instruments financiers et/ou des crypto-monnaies implique des risques élevés, notamment le risque de perdre tout ou partie de votre investissement, et cela pourrait ne pas convenir à tous les investisseurs. Les prix des crypto-monnaies sont extrêmement volatils et peuvent être affectés par des facteurs externes tels que des événements financiers, réglementaires ou politiques. La négociation sur marge augmente les risques financiers.
The USD is mixed As North American traders enter for the day, the CHF is the strongest. The NZD is the weakest currency and the USD is mixed. Today the Fed chair will be testifying at 10 AM ET. The contents of his testimony will be released at 8:30 AM ET. The Bank of Canada will also announce their current interest rate decision. They are expected to keep rates unchanged at 1.75%. The FOMC meeting minutes from their last meeting will be released at 2 PM ET.
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You might want to focus on some type of data and ignore the rest: less noise means more efficiency. Click on the button at the top of the economic calendar. You can type a keyword or select countries, dates range, event categories or volatility degrees. Then hit the “Filter Results” button. If you always need to see the same data when you come to our calendar, you can save your settings for the next visit! We said efficiency, right?
The 109.02-146 is overhead resistance The USDJPY has waffled up and down today as the "market" digests overhead resistance at the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the April 24 high at 108.918 and swing resistance at 109.022 to 109.146. That area was home to swing lows going back to May. It was broken on May 31 and has not seen the levels since (see yellow area and red numbered circles).
Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
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On this chart you can see comments from my latest ideas where people claim the opposite of me. That means they think altcoins will not rise anymore. I also do not want you to make fun of the comments. Because if we are honest, not everyone can win. If I want to make profit, then most of the people have to have a different opinion than me - that's how it works in...
Shortened as “Vol.” in the economic calendar and depicted as yellow/orange/red bars, the volatility is an indicator of the expected impact of a data on currencies. Shall a bar be red and long, market observers expect this data to have great probability to move the Forex market. Shall this bar be yellow and short, the probability is viewed as low. In orange, we’re just in between.
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