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USD/JPY: Retail trader data shows 62.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.68 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 03 when USD/JPY traded near 112.096; price has moved 2.9% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 4.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.3% higher than yesterday and 25.3% higher from last week.
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Traders stalling but not coming off much The GBPUSD is up testing is 100 hour moving average of 1.25154. The high just reached 1.25203 on the spike higher after the release of Fed Chair Powell's prepared text. The price currently trades at 1.2516. The pair move below its 100 hour moving average on July 1 at 1.2694 and trended to low at 1.24389 yesterday and a slightly higher 1.2443 today.
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GBP/USD: Retail trader data shows 82.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 4.81 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 06 when GBP/USD traded near 1.29115; price has moved 3.3% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 8.7% higher than yesterday and 25.4% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 6.7% higher than yesterday and 17.1% lower from last week.
Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
Fundamental trading is when you follow the news for several countries and play the countries with strengthening economic trends, against the ones with weakening economic trends. This type of approach is pretty easy because it looks at how things shape up over the long term. The complicated portion of it is learning to understand the economic reports and compare them to other countries.
EURUSD is beeig longtime in downtrend. At least last highs are overwritten (highest highs) and EURUSD is showing strength (only technically, fundamentally it is weak) changing its downtrend to uptrend! So most adekvate entry point is then it will overwrite low point (support + weak divergence). This is good entry point because StopLoss is short and potential...
Note: Welcome back for some more chart analysis practice. As you know, I am not taking this trade in real life, and I have not back-tested this particular strategy on the USDCAD, so I really don't know how this type of trading strategy will work on this currency pair. That being said, never trade anything you haven't back-tested on your own. Don't trade a strategy...
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The Italian industrial production data for the month of May was released today. On a sequential basis, industrial production grew 0.9 percent. The percentage change of the average of the last three months with respect to the previous three months was 0.1. On a yearon-year basis, the adjusted industrial production index dropped 0.7 percent. The unadjusted industrial production index dropped 0.7 percent year-on-year. For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
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