Hello all - DuncanForex with another trade idea. With NFP coming in strong on Friday and USD gaining strength - the question is: Is this short term sentiment and will the FED support further USD strength or will the FED still suggest a rate cut and in turn will USD weaken,? Therefore, the recent price action being a stop loss hunt before heading higher quite... 

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I showed this fractal several times lately, since it has been a nice guideline so far. The red circles are not really the same though. Back then we had a good double bottom, this time we don't but have been moving bit similar up nonetheless. The right shoulder is very different this time compared to 2017, that one was completed much faster and the rally was much...
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The USD is mixed As North American traders enter for the day, the CHF is the strongest. The NZD is the weakest currency and the USD is mixed.  Today the Fed chair will be testifying at 10 AM ET. The contents of his testimony will be released at 8:30 AM ET.  The Bank of Canada will also announce their current interest rate decision. They are expected to keep rates unchanged at 1.75%. The FOMC meeting minutes from their last meeting will be released at 2 PM ET. 
Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
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Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.

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GBP/USD rises to a high of 1.2483 on the day ForexLive Buyers are beginning to work their forward a little bit on the session as the pound is creeping slightly higher amid the release of the May monthly GDP data earlier and higher UK gilt yields. Of note, 10-year gilt yields are up by 6 bps on the session to 0.78% - their highest level in a week amid a bit of a beat down in European bonds.
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