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A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:


You might want to focus on some type of data and ignore the rest: less noise means more efficiency. Click on the  button at the top of the economic calendar. You can type a keyword or select countries, dates range, event categories or volatility degrees. Then hit the “Filter Results” button. If you always need to see the same data when you come to our calendar, you can save your settings for the next visit! We said efficiency, right?


Shortened as “Vol.” in the economic calendar and depicted as yellow/orange/red bars, the volatility is an indicator of the expected impact of a data on currencies. Shall a bar be red and long, market observers expect this data to have great probability to move the Forex market. Shall this bar be yellow and short, the probability is viewed as low. In orange, we’re just in between.
108.47 -52 is swing and 100 hour MA support target The price has moved to high from July 1 at the 108.52 area and the rising 100 hour MA at 108.474.  THe low just reached 108.518 so far.   A break below both levels will look to target the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 108.322 and then the 200 hour MA at 108.236. A trend line cuts across at 108.195.  
Martin Essex, MSTA David Cottle Ilya Spivak Tyler Yell, CMT Renee Mu Mahmoud Alkudsi Justin McQueen Michael Boutros Rich Dvorak DailyFX Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M Paul Robinson Shaun Murison, CFTe Daniel Dubrovsky David Song James Stanley DailyFX Team John Kicklighter Nick Cawley Dimitri Zabelin David Joseph Christopher Vecchio, CFA David Rodriguez
The 109.02-146 is overhead resistance The USDJPY has waffled up and down today as the "market" digests overhead resistance at the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the April 24 high at 108.918 and swing resistance at 109.022 to 109.146.  That area was home to swing lows going back to May. It was broken on May 31 and has not seen the levels since (see yellow area and red numbered circles).  

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Economic data indicators and mood sentiment change often so stay informed by checking our forex economic calendar daily. FX currency pair movements happen quickly so get to know the daily and foreign exchange weekly economic calendar to anticipate market trends. Our real-time forex live news and analysis updates, commentary and articles can help you interpret the economic data news so you can take advantage of technical analysis patterns as they change with forex market sentiment. Stay familiar with the economic calendar and forex news from central banks, politics and local events that can affect country currency pairs you trade.
The Italian industrial production data for the month of May was released today. On a sequential basis, industrial production grew 0.9 percent. The percentage change of the average of the last three months with respect to the previous three months was 0.1. On a yearon-year basis, the adjusted industrial production index dropped 0.7 percent. The unadjusted industrial production index dropped 0.7 percent year-on-year. For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
I showed this fractal several times lately, since it has been a nice guideline so far. The red circles are not really the same though. Back then we had a good double bottom, this time we don't but have been moving bit similar up nonetheless. The right shoulder is very different this time compared to 2017, that one was completed much faster and the rally was much...
Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
I showed this fractal several times lately, since it has been a nice guideline so far. The red circles are not really the same though. Back then we had a good double bottom, this time we don't but have been moving bit similar up nonetheless. The right shoulder is very different this time compared to 2017, that one was completed much faster and the rally was much...
Looks like the market wants to go higher, we have already a 1H breakout confirmation and if we get also 4H confirmation then this breakout could be more secure but currently 3 hours to go and as you know things can happen quickly. Bullish criteria: 1. The price is above the major counter trendline, this dotted line from the top. Counter trendline breakouts into...
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