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Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.
Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
I showed this fractal several times lately, since it has been a nice guideline so far. The red circles are not really the same though. Back then we had a good double bottom, this time we don't but have been moving bit similar up nonetheless. The right shoulder is very different this time compared to 2017, that one was completed much faster and the rally was much... 

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Looks like the market wants to go higher, we have already a 1H breakout confirmation and if we get also 4H confirmation then this breakout could be more secure but currently 3 hours to go and as you know things can happen quickly. Bullish criteria: 1. The price is above the major counter trendline, this dotted line from the top. Counter trendline breakouts into...
The 109.02-146 is overhead resistance The USDJPY has waffled up and down today as the "market" digests overhead resistance at the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the April 24 high at 108.918 and swing resistance at 109.022 to 109.146.  That area was home to swing lows going back to May. It was broken on May 31 and has not seen the levels since (see yellow area and red numbered circles).  
Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.

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