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US 500: Retail trader data shows 26.3% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.8 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2636.3; price has moved 13.1% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 1.7% higher than yesterday and 9.6% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.5% higher than yesterday and 8.1% higher from last week.

A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery: 

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