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EURUSD is beeig longtime in downtrend. At least last highs are overwritten (highest highs) and EURUSD is showing strength (only technically, fundamentally it is weak) changing its downtrend to uptrend! So most adekvate entry point is then it will overwrite low point (support + weak divergence). This is good entry point because StopLoss is short and potential...
A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
100 hour MA at 1.1232 is now support. Price approaches 100 day moving average The EURUSD has moved above the 100 hour MA on the back of the Fed chairs prepared remarks to Congress. That moving average comes in at 1.1232. The pair is now testing the key 100 day MA at 1.12546. The 50% midpoint from the high correction on July 2 is also at that level.