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The USD is mixed As North American traders enter for the day, the CHF is the strongest. The NZD is the weakest currency and the USD is mixed. Today the Fed chair will be testifying at 10 AM ET. The contents of his testimony will be released at 8:30 AM ET. The Bank of Canada will also announce their current interest rate decision. They are expected to keep rates unchanged at 1.75%. The FOMC meeting minutes from their last meeting will be released at 2 PM ET.
Before the Internet revolution only large players such as international banks, hedge funds and extremely wealthy individuals could participate. Now retail traders can buy, sell and speculate on currencies from the comfort of their homes with a mouse click through online brokerage accounts. There are many tradable currency pairs and an average online broker has about 40. One of our most popular chats is the Forex chat where traders talk in real-time about where the market is going.
USD/JPY: Retail trader data shows 62.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.68 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 03 when USD/JPY traded near 112.096; price has moved 2.9% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 4.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.3% higher than yesterday and 25.3% higher from last week.
Traders stalling but not coming off much The GBPUSD is up testing is 100 hour moving average of 1.25154. The high just reached 1.25203 on the spike higher after the release of Fed Chair Powell's prepared text. The price currently trades at 1.2516. The pair move below its 100 hour moving average on July 1 at 1.2694 and trended to low at 1.24389 yesterday and a slightly higher 1.2443 today.
A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
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You don't have to follow all our signals by the book. Forex signals are trade ideas, so it's best to consider them as such and whenever possible to increase your profits. Stop loss and take profit levels are given in order to frame the range in which the market is expected to move based on a specific trend. If your trading strategy points to further gains, don’t limit your potential... extend your take profit (TP) target or remove it all together to maximize profits.