100 hour MA at 1.1232 is now support. Price approaches 100 day moving average The EURUSD has moved above the 100 hour MA on the back of the Fed chairs prepared remarks to Congress. That moving average comes in at 1.1232. The pair is now testing the key 100 day MA at 1.12546. The 50% midpoint from the high correction on July 2 is also at that level.  
Shortened as “Vol.” in the economic calendar and depicted as yellow/orange/red bars, the volatility is an indicator of the expected impact of a data on currencies. Shall a bar be red and long, market observers expect this data to have great probability to move the Forex market. Shall this bar be yellow and short, the probability is viewed as low. In orange, we’re just in between.
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Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
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