Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.

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Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows. 

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Martin Essex, MSTA David Cottle Ilya Spivak Tyler Yell, CMT Renee Mu Mahmoud Alkudsi Justin McQueen Michael Boutros Rich Dvorak DailyFX Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M Paul Robinson Shaun Murison, CFTe Daniel Dubrovsky David Song James Stanley DailyFX Team John Kicklighter Nick Cawley Dimitri Zabelin David Joseph Christopher Vecchio, CFA David Rodriguez
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