A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:

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The USD is mixed As North American traders enter for the day, the CHF is the strongest. The NZD is the weakest currency and the USD is mixed.  Today the Fed chair will be testifying at 10 AM ET. The contents of his testimony will be released at 8:30 AM ET.  The Bank of Canada will also announce their current interest rate decision. They are expected to keep rates unchanged at 1.75%. The FOMC meeting minutes from their last meeting will be released at 2 PM ET. 
US 500: Retail trader data shows 26.3% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.8 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jan 07 when US 500 traded near 2636.3; price has moved 13.1% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 1.7% higher than yesterday and 9.6% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 5.5% higher than yesterday and 8.1% higher from last week.
Avviso esplicito sui rischi: Il trading degli strumenti finanziari e/o di criptovalute comporta alti rischi, compreso quello di perdere in parte, o totalmente, l’importo dell’investimento, e potrebbe non essere adatto a tutti gli investitori. I prezzi delle criptovalute sono estremamente volatili e potrebbero essere influenzati da fattori esterni come eventi finanziari, normativi o politici. Il trading con margine aumenta i rischi finanziari.

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Hello all - DuncanForex with another trade idea. With NFP coming in strong on Friday and USD gaining strength - the question is: Is this short term sentiment and will the FED support further USD strength or will the FED still suggest a rate cut and in turn will USD weaken,? Therefore, the recent price action being a stop loss hunt before heading higher quite...
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So I was thinking for a long time about this current move of BTC. WTF is BTC doing here, it should still "rest" in 2019 and start the bigger upmoves in early 2020, a few months before the halving. Instead, we are already now apparently pushing for higher highs, and are not too far away from ATH any more. And BTC? Still no sign of a larger correction. I hoped...
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Carry trading is when you buy and hold a currency that pays a high-interest rate against a currency that has a low-interest rate. Each day a rollover is paid for the interest difference between the two currencies. The advantage of this is that even when your trade is not moving, money is deposited into your account daily. Also, since most forex trades are leveraged, you get paid on the size of your trade, not just the size of your capital.
Hello all - DuncanForex with another trade idea. With NFP coming in strong on Friday and USD gaining strength - the question is: Is this short term sentiment and will the FED support further USD strength or will the FED still suggest a rate cut and in turn will USD weaken,? Therefore, the recent price action being a stop loss hunt before heading higher quite...
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Shortened as “Vol.” in the economic calendar and depicted as yellow/orange/red bars, the volatility is an indicator of the expected impact of a data on currencies. Shall a bar be red and long, market observers expect this data to have great probability to move the Forex market. Shall this bar be yellow and short, the probability is viewed as low. In orange, we’re just in between.
Fundamental trading is when you follow the news for several countries and play the countries with strengthening economic trends, against the ones with weakening economic trends. This type of approach is pretty easy because it looks at how things shape up over the long term. The complicated portion of it is learning to understand the economic reports and compare them to other countries.
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