I showed this fractal several times lately, since it has been a nice guideline so far. The red circles are not really the same though. Back then we had a good double bottom, this time we don't but have been moving bit similar up nonetheless. The right shoulder is very different this time compared to 2017, that one was completed much faster and the rally was much... 

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Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
Note: Welcome back for some more chart analysis practice. As you know, I am not taking this trade in real life, and I have not back-tested this particular strategy on the USDCAD, so I really don't know how this type of trading strategy will work on this currency pair. That being said, never trade anything you haven't back-tested on your own. Don't trade a strategy...
Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.
So I was thinking for a long time about this current move of BTC. WTF is BTC doing here, it should still "rest" in 2019 and start the bigger upmoves in early 2020, a few months before the halving. Instead, we are already now apparently pushing for higher highs, and are not too far away from ATH any more. And BTC? Still no sign of a larger correction. I hoped...
Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
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108.47 -52 is swing and 100 hour MA support target The price has moved to high from July 1 at the 108.52 area and the rising 100 hour MA at 108.474.  THe low just reached 108.518 so far.   A break below both levels will look to target the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 108.322 and then the 200 hour MA at 108.236. A trend line cuts across at 108.195.  

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A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
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EURUSD is beeig longtime in downtrend. At least last highs are overwritten (highest highs) and EURUSD is showing strength (only technically, fundamentally it is weak) changing its downtrend to uptrend! So most adekvate entry point is then it will overwrite low point (support + weak divergence). This is good entry point because StopLoss is short and potential...
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