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A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
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Traders stalling but not coming off much The GBPUSD is up testing is 100 hour moving average of 1.25154. The high just reached 1.25203 on the spike higher after the release of Fed Chair Powell's prepared text.   The price currently trades at 1.2516.  The pair move below its 100 hour moving average on July 1 at 1.2694 and trended to low at 1.24389 yesterday and a slightly higher 1.2443 today.

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Another tool you can use is our significative line crossing systems, including crossing averages, MACD cross and over zero signal. Such as the indicators that detect patterns in Japanese Candlesticks (see above), the correct selection of your parameters are vital to avoid to be guided in your decisions by misleading signals. How to add crosses indicators
I showed this fractal several times lately, since it has been a nice guideline so far. The red circles are not really the same though. Back then we had a good double bottom, this time we don't but have been moving bit similar up nonetheless. The right shoulder is very different this time compared to 2017, that one was completed much faster and the rally was much...
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As always, this type of tool has to be used as an indication of a possible favorable position to be taken, but it’s necessary to combine them with other techniques. Here are the Candlesticks Patterns that our board will recognize and automatically points: Bearish engulfing, Bullish engulfing, Dark Cloud, Doji, Evening Star, Hammer, Morning Star, Piercing and Shooting Star. How to add a Candlestick Patterns Recognition indicator
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