GBP/USD: Retail trader data shows 82.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 4.81 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 06 when GBP/USD traded near 1.29115; price has moved 3.3% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 8.7% higher than yesterday and 25.4% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 6.7% higher than yesterday and 17.1% lower from last week.
Martin Essex, MSTA David Cottle Ilya Spivak Tyler Yell, CMT Renee Mu Mahmoud Alkudsi Justin McQueen Michael Boutros Rich Dvorak DailyFX Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M Paul Robinson Shaun Murison, CFTe Daniel Dubrovsky David Song James Stanley DailyFX Team John Kicklighter Nick Cawley Dimitri Zabelin David Joseph Christopher Vecchio, CFA David Rodriguez

Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.


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Martin Essex, MSTA David Cottle Ilya Spivak Tyler Yell, CMT Renee Mu Mahmoud Alkudsi Justin McQueen Michael Boutros Rich Dvorak DailyFX Jeremy Wagner, CEWA-M Paul Robinson Shaun Murison, CFTe Daniel Dubrovsky David Song James Stanley DailyFX Team John Kicklighter Nick Cawley Dimitri Zabelin David Joseph Christopher Vecchio, CFA David Rodriguez
The downside to the carry trade is that typically the interest differentials are not that much compared to how much risk you are taking. Also, currency pairs that are good for carry trading typically have a strong reaction to any news that presents a risk to the global markets. In other words, as long as things are good, these pairs will rise and pay. If something goes wrong, sometimes unexpectedly, they will plunge very hard and very fast. If you are overleveraged, you can blow up your account in a blink.
Looks like the market wants to go higher, we have already a 1H breakout confirmation and if we get also 4H confirmation then this breakout could be more secure but currently 3 hours to go and as you know things can happen quickly. Bullish criteria: 1. The price is above the major counter trendline, this dotted line from the top. Counter trendline breakouts into...

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Traders stalling but not coming off much The GBPUSD is up testing is 100 hour moving average of 1.25154. The high just reached 1.25203 on the spike higher after the release of Fed Chair Powell's prepared text.   The price currently trades at 1.2516.  The pair move below its 100 hour moving average on July 1 at 1.2694 and trended to low at 1.24389 yesterday and a slightly higher 1.2443 today.
Map out the magnitude of price moves with Retracements and Arcs. These tools let you draw studies about the possible developments of a price based on its previous move. It can be calculated following different mathematical concepts (Fibonacci, Gann…). While retracements are concerned with just the magnitude of moves, Arcs factor both magnitude and time, offering areas of future support or resistance that will move as time progresses. How to add Retracements and Arcs
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You don't have to follow all our signals by the book. Forex signals are trade ideas, so it's best to consider them as such and whenever possible to increase your profits. Stop loss and take profit levels are given in order to frame the range in which the market is expected to move based on a specific trend. If your trading strategy points to further gains, don’t limit your potential... extend your take profit (TP) target or remove it all together to maximize profits.
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