Note: Welcome back for some more chart analysis practice. As you know, I am not taking this trade in real life, and I have not back-tested this particular strategy on the USDCAD, so I really don't know how this type of trading strategy will work on this currency pair. That being said, never trade anything you haven't back-tested on your own. Don't trade a strategy...
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EURUSD is beeig longtime in downtrend. At least last highs are overwritten (highest highs) and EURUSD is showing strength (only technically, fundamentally it is weak) changing its downtrend to uptrend! So most adekvate entry point is then it will overwrite low point (support + weak divergence). This is good entry point because StopLoss is short and potential...
A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:

Bulls in full control right now with uptrends on the weekly, daily, 4H and hourly charts. When we lose the hourly uptrend, we look for a 4H higher low, When we lose the 4H uptrend we look for a daily higher low. I personally will hold my swing positions as long as we are in a daily uptrend. The odds of a bull break over $13.8k vs. a weekly lower high continue...
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