A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
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Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.
108.47 -52 is swing and 100 hour MA support target The price has moved to high from July 1 at the 108.52 area and the rising 100 hour MA at 108.474. THe low just reached 108.518 so far. A break below both levels will look to target the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 108.322 and then the 200 hour MA at 108.236. A trend line cuts across at 108.195.
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The USD is mixed As North American traders enter for the day, the CHF is the strongest. The NZD is the weakest currency and the USD is mixed. Today the Fed chair will be testifying at 10 AM ET. The contents of his testimony will be released at 8:30 AM ET. The Bank of Canada will also announce their current interest rate decision. They are expected to keep rates unchanged at 1.75%. The FOMC meeting minutes from their last meeting will be released at 2 PM ET.
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