Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.
GBP/USD: Retail trader data shows 82.8% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 4.81 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 06 when GBP/USD traded near 1.29115; price has moved 3.3% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 8.7% higher than yesterday and 25.4% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 6.7% higher than yesterday and 17.1% lower from last week.
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Shortened as “Vol.” in the economic calendar and depicted as yellow/orange/red bars, the volatility is an indicator of the expected impact of a data on currencies. Shall a bar be red and long, market observers expect this data to have great probability to move the Forex market. Shall this bar be yellow and short, the probability is viewed as low. In orange, we’re just in between.
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