Hello all - DuncanForex with another trade idea. With NFP coming in strong on Friday and USD gaining strength - the question is: Is this short term sentiment and will the FED support further USD strength or will the FED still suggest a rate cut and in turn will USD weaken,? Therefore, the recent price action being a stop loss hunt before heading higher quite...
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The USD is mixed As North American traders enter for the day, the CHF is the strongest. The NZD is the weakest currency and the USD is mixed. Today the Fed chair will be testifying at 10 AM ET. The contents of his testimony will be released at 8:30 AM ET. The Bank of Canada will also announce their current interest rate decision. They are expected to keep rates unchanged at 1.75%. The FOMC meeting minutes from their last meeting will be released at 2 PM ET.
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Little happened across the FX board these last few days, with a US holiday in the middle and a scarce macroeconomic calendar exacerbating the lack of action. Such picture changed Friday with the release of the US Nonfarm Payroll report. Ahead of it, the market was convinced that the global economic slowdown would mean easy money coming. Stocks soared, with Wall Street flirting with record highs, while safe-haven assets benefited from those fears, and government bond yields fell to multi-year lows.
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100 hour MA at 1.1232 is now support. Price approaches 100 day moving average The EURUSD has moved above the 100 hour MA on the back of the Fed chairs prepared remarks to Congress. That moving average comes in at 1.1232. The pair is now testing the key 100 day MA at 1.12546. The 50% midpoint from the high correction on July 2 is also at that level.
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Bulls in full control right now with uptrends on the weekly, daily, 4H and hourly charts. When we lose the hourly uptrend, we look for a 4H higher low, When we lose the 4H uptrend we look for a daily higher low. I personally will hold my swing positions as long as we are in a daily uptrend. The odds of a bull break over $13.8k vs. a weekly lower high continue...
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