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The 109.02-146 is overhead resistance The USDJPY has waffled up and down today as the "market" digests overhead resistance at the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the April 24 high at 108.918 and swing resistance at 109.022 to 109.146. That area was home to swing lows going back to May. It was broken on May 31 and has not seen the levels since (see yellow area and red numbered circles).
Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
USD/JPY: Retail trader data shows 62.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.68 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 03 when USD/JPY traded near 112.096; price has moved 2.9% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 4.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.3% higher than yesterday and 25.3% higher from last week.
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