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A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
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Avviso esplicito sui rischi: Il trading degli strumenti finanziari e/o di criptovalute comporta alti rischi, compreso quello di perdere in parte, o totalmente, l’importo dell’investimento, e potrebbe non essere adatto a tutti gli investitori. I prezzi delle criptovalute sono estremamente volatili e potrebbero essere influenzati da fattori esterni come eventi finanziari, normativi o politici. Il trading con margine aumenta i rischi finanziari.
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So I was thinking for a long time about this current move of BTC. WTF is BTC doing here, it should still "rest" in 2019 and start the bigger upmoves in early 2020, a few months before the halving. Instead, we are already now apparently pushing for higher highs, and are not too far away from ATH any more. And BTC? Still no sign of a larger correction. I hoped... 

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USD/JPY: Retail trader data shows 62.7% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 1.68 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-long since May 03 when USD/JPY traded near 112.096; price has moved 2.9% lower since then. The number of traders net-long is 0.3% lower than yesterday and 4.3% lower from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.3% higher than yesterday and 25.3% higher from last week.
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Traders stalling but not coming off much The GBPUSD is up testing is 100 hour moving average of 1.25154. The high just reached 1.25203 on the spike higher after the release of Fed Chair Powell's prepared text.   The price currently trades at 1.2516.  The pair move below its 100 hour moving average on July 1 at 1.2694 and trended to low at 1.24389 yesterday and a slightly higher 1.2443 today.
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Shortened as “Vol.” in the economic calendar and depicted as yellow/orange/red bars, the volatility is an indicator of the expected impact of a data on currencies. Shall a bar be red and long, market observers expect this data to have great probability to move the Forex market. Shall this bar be yellow and short, the probability is viewed as low. In orange, we’re just in between.
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Forex is one of those areas that most people feel is complicated. In reality, it's like many other forms of investment, a little knowledge can be dangerous. The good news for people out there looking for forex investing strategies is that there are enough strategies out there to meet any investment goal. You can be a simple long-term investor, or you can sit and watch the market every day looking for profit at every turn. As long as you want to learn forex trading, you can find a method that's right.
Map out the magnitude of price moves with Retracements and Arcs. These tools let you draw studies about the possible developments of a price based on its previous move. It can be calculated following different mathematical concepts (Fibonacci, Gann…). While retracements are concerned with just the magnitude of moves, Arcs factor both magnitude and time, offering areas of future support or resistance that will move as time progresses. How to add Retracements and Arcs

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Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.


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Forex is one of those areas that most people feel is complicated. In reality, it's like many other forms of investment, a little knowledge can be dangerous. The good news for people out there looking for forex investing strategies is that there are enough strategies out there to meet any investment goal. You can be a simple long-term investor, or you can sit and watch the market every day looking for profit at every turn. As long as you want to learn forex trading, you can find a method that's right.
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You don't have to follow all our signals by the book. Forex signals are trade ideas, so it's best to consider them as such and whenever possible to increase your profits. Stop loss and take profit levels are given in order to frame the range in which the market is expected to move based on a specific trend. If your trading strategy points to further gains, don’t limit your potential... extend your take profit (TP) target or remove it all together to maximize profits.
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