108.47 -52 is swing and 100 hour MA support target The price has moved to high from July 1 at the 108.52 area and the rising 100 hour MA at 108.474.  THe low just reached 108.518 so far.   A break below both levels will look to target the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart at 108.322 and then the 200 hour MA at 108.236. A trend line cuts across at 108.195.  
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Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
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A topside surprise for this should be AUD supportive. The housing sector (construction and related) of the economy has felt a negative impact from the fall in home prices. If confidence returns to the sector it'll be a positive for the economy. I suspect a downside surprise will not impact as much as recent indicators (after May) have given small glimmers of recovery:
The Italian industrial production data for the month of May was released today. On a sequential basis, industrial production grew 0.9 percent. The percentage change of the average of the last three months with respect to the previous three months was 0.1. On a yearon-year basis, the adjusted industrial production index dropped 0.7 percent. The unadjusted industrial production index dropped 0.7 percent year-on-year. For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
GBP/USD rises to a high of 1.2483 on the day ForexLive Buyers are beginning to work their forward a little bit on the session as the pound is creeping slightly higher amid the release of the May monthly GDP data earlier and higher UK gilt yields. Of note, 10-year gilt yields are up by 6 bps on the session to 0.78% - their highest level in a week amid a bit of a beat down in European bonds.
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While Forex trading can feel complicated, it's something that anyone with patience and the ability to learn from their mistakes can gain some skill at over time. It takes some persistence. The system is designed in a way that frustrates most people. You need to step back, keep an eye on the big picture, and trade small, at least in the beginning. It's also smart to avoid those "100 percent accurate forex trading systems" on the internet until you have some experience under your belt.
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Traders stalling but not coming off much The GBPUSD is up testing is 100 hour moving average of 1.25154. The high just reached 1.25203 on the spike higher after the release of Fed Chair Powell's prepared text.   The price currently trades at 1.2516.  The pair move below its 100 hour moving average on July 1 at 1.2694 and trended to low at 1.24389 yesterday and a slightly higher 1.2443 today.
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While Forex trading can feel complicated, it's something that anyone with patience and the ability to learn from their mistakes can gain some skill at over time. It takes some persistence. The system is designed in a way that frustrates most people. You need to step back, keep an eye on the big picture, and trade small, at least in the beginning. It's also smart to avoid those "100 percent accurate forex trading systems" on the internet until you have some experience under your belt.
Caution: Trading involves the possibility of financial loss. Only trade with money that you are prepared to lose, you must recognise that for factors outside your control you may lose all of the money in your trading account. Many forex brokers also hold you liable for losses that exceed your trading capital. So you may stand to lose more money than is in your account. ForexSignals.com takes no responsibility for loss incurred as a result of our trading signals. By signing up as a member you acknowledge that we are not providing financial advice and that you are making a the decision to copy our trades on your own account. We have no knowledge on the level of money you are trading with or the level of risk you are taking with each trade. You must make your own financial decisions, we take no responsibility for money made or lost as a result of our signals or advice on forex related products on this website.
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The USD is mixed As North American traders enter for the day, the CHF is the strongest. The NZD is the weakest currency and the USD is mixed.  Today the Fed chair will be testifying at 10 AM ET. The contents of his testimony will be released at 8:30 AM ET.  The Bank of Canada will also announce their current interest rate decision. They are expected to keep rates unchanged at 1.75%. The FOMC meeting minutes from their last meeting will be released at 2 PM ET. 
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CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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Hello all - DuncanForex with another trade idea. With NFP coming in strong on Friday and USD gaining strength - the question is: Is this short term sentiment and will the FED support further USD strength or will the FED still suggest a rate cut and in turn will USD weaken,? Therefore, the recent price action being a stop loss hunt before heading higher quite...

Successful trade talks could rescue a lot and give the positive cycle another year or two. A Brexit deal would add to the momentum. Failure of trade talks will I think precipitate a recession. A no deal Brexit would probably push the EU and UK into recession but not the rest of the world, if the trade talks are solved. If we get a no-deal Brexit and failed trade....it will be, as the Chinese supposedly said but never did... May you live in interesting times.
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